(led bySeliina PAALLYSAHO, SEINÄJOKI University of Applied Sciences)
WPAPR [prospects], European occupational employment prospects towards the socioecological model,
If the trend is the « green » economy, sustainable development, the socio-ecological concerns, it is necessary to consider changing professions and skills of tomorrow, especially in a European context where demographic issues, crisis, rates of unemployment. upset more and more conventional scenarios of employment.
If new scenarios incorporating the issue of intergenerational, health, service to the person, welfare, articulation private/professional life, travel management, etc are to build, they actually pose the question of:
- identification of new business (creation of new jobs)
- enlargement of skills for existing jobs (adaptation of jobs)
- construction of initial training programs and continues
- to adaptation of organizations and attitudes.
[ prospect] will work by outlining the three following goals:
< Changes> (Animated by Anne GREEN of University of WARWICK)
aims to Identify the main changes related to socio-ecological transition impacting the business.
It is interested in major changes and map trends, disruptions and the weak signals associated with a market economy to take more account of environmental dimensions (green) and social (care) in these orientations and positions. The tasks consist of:- Analyze and synthesize the concept of socio-ecological transition (state of the art ...);- Identify economic change, social, cultural, technological, etc.. related to the socio-ecological transition, it will be to understand how this transition changes the business logic, ie the "business environment".
< skills> (Animated by Aline SCOUARNEC of ESSEC business school)
shall Anticipating the consequences of this socio-ecological transition on skills and jobs of tomorrow.
Indeed, in a second step will be to see the practical consequences of these mutations on the external trades and skills but also training and working environments. We are located here in the approach to prospective businesses that we have developed nearly ten years in different sectors and groups of businesses. According to our work, the Trades Foresight is an approach to anticipate possible futures in terms of skills, activities, responsibilities of a job. It allows to imagine the possible knowledge and qualifications, expertise or know-how, attitudes and interpersonal skills, who will be tomorrow better able to serve the individual and the organization. It therefore requires a coconstruction by the actors-experts or business can be analyzed from this or these trades. It includes a reflection on the individual business and work organization.
A prospective study of business that meets the following four key issues:
What skills for tomorrow?
What organization (s) of Labor? What training courses?
We try to define, in a socio-ecological skills of tomorrow, jobs, training, work environments, etc..The question that drives us to this level is whether there are new skills? if so, why? Will they enter and transform existing business? To generate new business. Make others disappear? What then will the initial training of proprietary or otherwise of general socio-ecological development? etc..
< conditions> (Animated by Minna KIVIPELTO of SEINÄJOKI University of Applied Sciences)
shall to Understand the environments and working conditions for tomorrow's careers in a context of socio-ecological transition. The third goal, after having identified the key internal and external changes will be to answer the following question: How to think the working environment of new professions or trades processed? In a context of recovery of this socio-ecological transition and its impact on jobs of tomorrow, it seems important to understand the contexts of work, working conditions, etc.. to offer an attractive image or new occupations or trades processed.
Through the different possible methodological approaches, the so-called expert method appears as being the best one to anticipate the consequences of the transformations in progress into jobs.
Indeed, these methods have the advantage of relying on the « expert word », that is to say on the perception that a person – an actor – can have of a given situation. For Usunier et al.(1993), the task of the researcher in social sciences « should not be to store factual data, nore to measure to which frequency these phenomenons appear, but should rather be to parallel the different constructions and significations that people give to their experience ». The PM methodology – for « prospective métier » Job Prospective - (Boyer, Scouarnec, 2009), most of all relies on the representations actors make – the experts – of a given situation of handling. It sets itself apart from the two others by the many solicitation of expets with different tools and by an extensive survey.
This orientation allows using qualitative methods (semi-directive interviews, group meetings) or quantitative methods (questionnaires) to understand organizational realities and to imagine possible shapings intra- or inter-organizational.